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where did we go wrong?

teacher : and you have behaved well today?
students: yes.
teacher: good.
students, because we were afraid.

Mysore Mallige Filalm

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Mah ... the situation leaves little to the imagination ..... breached the daily congestion dictated by the measuring bar on 23 January (blue horizontal lines ).... today is the daily candle close to the with max internal limit congestion and external to the minutes, the classic candle breaking new lows under 14 €, and then enter the territory of the 13 euro mark new territories psychological induce other positions Bearish on titolo.Quest 'last week is marked by more negative trend since the beginning of the fall, not even a bullish correction pattern is formed in a whole week, 1.2.3.High the maximum and then a series of RH to confirm Long fall .... The intersection of long-term averages 144 (purple) and 200 (yellow) that occurred earlier this week (Jan. 5) has now been transformed into a new intersection Short today. The average 55 (green) had already anticipated the short crossing on January 6th highest average lunghe.Notiamo the presence of bullish divergences on the indicator of the relative strength of the title, the differences appear too bullish on the volume bar that would show a drop not supported agreement for sale of books ..... these two considerations we were misled into thinking of an imminent rebound in the title. In reality we see by the evidence of these differences with the OBV indicator that what you see in the volumes are false in fact, the OBV divergence is concordant with the share price ..... what does this mean? That's actually what looks like a volume decrease in sales volumes is due solely to lack of buyers, that except in very specific brief moments where they concentrate on buying good books that are served by window dressing, then in the whole of I am not bearish movement made contact, resulting in a situation where the title has dropped below shots from sales and the law of gravity since there is no one to support acquisto.Questa analysis of the last week ..... how will the title in the coming days? Well at this point to the most games seem to be made, That may be so but to be fair I must point out that a real pain in congestion occurs only when two candles breached the limit of that in practice the candle now works as a setup for having broken the first, the necessary and sufficient condition is that Monday's candle has the maximum limit that is below the 14.15 and decreasing the minimum than today. This and only this is the minimum valid pattern recognized by TA as a rupture of congestion, then as any movement that respects you may even have the pullback of the boundary layer resistance 14.15.L now turned into 'another scenario, the more difficult but possible to occur is that Monday there be a bullish candle, a candle like that near the lower limit congestion is also an important pattern, as would be the trigger for a possible bear trap marking the start of a bullish movement ...... remember that the limit on the false congestion is a classic landscape of the patterns of 'no one should be percu reverse unprepared for such an eventuality. The council today is therefore to not take positions multiday right now as part the most important daily pattern is not confirmed.

Regards.

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Fiat Fiat Fiat

.... Well then, how Bartali said ...? Sbagliatoooo all daughters, daughters all by rifareeee ....!!! And also to our Fiat, things went exactly like that, they took the road that was in Gap peggiore.Apertura hope (usually the Gap are recovered), Fiat has gone straight to the test of the bullish channel on the underside of 15.5 ... (the tube was removed from the chart because no longer needed) from there it was hoped to rebound in the closing of the gap but it was not, the day was totally and unequivocally characterized downward with Fiat, which anticipated the fall of the whole list, at first it was thought however that the list showed that the force would have driven ..... but it was the broken key technical contrario.Livelli, 15.3 sold and brought the quotations to the previous minimum of 15.3 .... the collapse has triggered a High .2.3 that the two possible has therefore shown that winning the title in China has resisted all too well, on a day of Gender could also reach 14.5, 14.6.Per tomorrow we expect a rise physiological after such great loss that will take us to the test medium long 55, 144, 200, now traveling at 15.6 but that tomorrow will drop further to collect the title , graphically waiting for a signal from the crossing of the average 144 (purple) with the 200 (yellow), but the fall of the title has made the 144 turn right at the time of the crossing, so it only grazed the longer average, confirming the inherent weakness Fiat.

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agg daily chart, here you can easily see what is now the reference channel x of the terrible failure of fiat 15.27 would result in a close 1 2 3 Ribbe, over 07 space x lick the trend black rib above the maximum of 16.45 bar measuring approximately 16.80 x extensions around. low volume small candles, prepare qualkosa, candles candles court Caller long, we'll see what they decide to make the institutional levels to keep in mind we have over intra 07 25 30 44 82 78 in area 50 and area 30, which finally contain any hints of the bearish title.

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February 5, 2008 February 4, 2008 February 1, 2008

Hi, new analysis to be fair ...... I'll note that I put back the limits of the channel Long (channel black) with a new starting point and change some aspect of the channel but makes it more veritiero.Continua the interim phase of Fiat, as described in the preceding analysis served a time of low volatility that actually is generalized a bit about all the titles and not just Fiat, now the second day Market Profile is a 100% dominated by institutional players, see what they want to tell us (the theory) that compare the view soggetti.Dobbiamo candles with Market Profile to get the picture, as you can see that the maximum of 29 January he started a modest retracement downward, which ended Jan. 31 with a minimum, the days now that we consider interesting are those 30 and 31 January, and we go to the comparison with Market Profile, starting from the first day of a rise on February 1, we note that it has exceeded the total extension of 31 January, in fact, the control point (Red dotted lines in Market Profile) of 1 February is higher than that of 31 January that the image does not appear out of scale because, so the information given by Market Profile is that there is actually a trend reversal between January 31 and February 1, let's see if it is confirmed, we note that the opening of today was above 15.94 at the checkpoint on January 30, which is 15.86 (red dashed line in MP), for most of the day we had a overall performance than the control point, and we tested many times, we note that even with short movements of less than 15.86 our site is closed pretty close to that point, we it closed at 15.85, but what matters most, even today we have a control point is increased compared to yesterday compared with the 30gennaio fact, the checkpoint appears to be at a height of 15.96 today, which means that people who have worked on today Fiat (100% institutional) have played the majority of their business on that level and not as you might think looking at the classic view with candles on the last short, the day today to be considered then as growth continues to mark control points also on the rise since the last days of gennaio.Graficamente but the situation appears more critical than Market profile tells us, in fact, we notice that the candles on the chart Failure to pass an altitude of 16.05 gave rise to a new channel shorts, which I designed with two blue lines, the channel goes to cross the channel before Long, usually drawn with black lines, this intersection creates a triangle in which they appear now to Press, who has blue top and black bottom, moving averages continue to be Long but because of lack of volatility has been rather flat. Looking at the chart, at a glance there is a feeling of weakness in the title, I note that, contrary to what was stated by Market Profile, due to the substantial inertia neither pattern 123, Low and High is not that they denied he confirmed. This condition requires us to use use to set the limits of our operations tomorrow, we can expect a test of the lower triangle which currently pass through the medium also important, given the condition of uncertainty that could happen in steps effortlessly from one channel to another, long way in breaking both the upside and then the blue channel rientraci both in a short breaking the black channel and then back, then we should keep in mind to set strict stop loss and take profit as soon as the opportunity arises, in Pending the conclusion primario.In define the trend, overall are still more numerous elements that suggest a bearish elements coming up from time to percutaneous predisponiamoci to consider any movement of the primary trend short as fake, the limit of this attitude can be placed in 15:49 where it passes through the checkpoint on January 31, past that point brings us to the limit pass-15.3, from which it is surely Short Multy .

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On 23 January he started a bullish movement that has brought us between 28 and 29 to finally break the old channel in which we were short-term (trend marked by the black descendants). The break coincided with the peak of volatility in the month of January after which we see as a simple ADX volatility has calmed, then the movement has taken the form of side with a consolidation day dominated mainly by scalpers and day traders, the last day of January, but he also saw the presence of institutions, but these have not been expressed in prices for most of the day, but driving on the sidelines until the descent of the title to test the upper side of the former bearish channel, this movement is recognizable in the shape of a wedge that has found the end with test 15.3 (50% control of the candle bearish January 23) on this level has coincided perfectly well the test of the former bearish channel as mentioned above, the upward scored from there resulting in breakage of the day and out of the bearish rising wedge is all the result of 'action of the institutions that had been there since silenti.Come we can see from the profile view of the market on January 31 appears to be a bear trap, in fact we can see that although it was mostly bearish with tests and breaking important support levels (see 15.4) finally scored a closure which passes the control point of the day (red dashed line), from which it had to deduct the implementation of the trap and the subsequent continuation of the the day after a bullish movement Febbraio.La Today Feb. 1 appears to be dominated 100% by institutional players, who today express quotations of the trends, only one thing .... uncertainty, in the opening lap and the subsequent closure made exactly on the control point of the day (red dashed line at 15.78) without completing the covering of the Lap clearly say that we have to wait to find out the future guidelines for these individuals will decide the title. For now we rely on the graph that shows the emergence of a new bullish channel, that channel is, however, immediately challenged by the emergence of a possible 1.2.3High. so we do not know if he can hold, at present the average mobile 144 (purple) at 30 min increased from 15.5 and appears in turn as we see Long and is fully in contact with the bottom edge of the new channel, so it say that any downward movement should be considered only at break of 15.5, which leads to retest a minimum of 15.3, only the collapse of that level, we might call full trend in short since this is the confirmation of that break 1.2.3High + 50% control of 23 of the candle gennaio.Percui, now we feel to be moderately confident of a recovery in share prices in Long sense, given the fact of Bear trap more an expression of movement Long by institutional players, but the indecision of these subjects on a day like today in which they dominated to 100% makes us suspect that the likely rise, however, could be full of false signals and more work than you might think breaking the continuous path or channel canali.In new definition of the substance ' Target possible if confirmed by the rise in the coming weeks is not very ambitious for something extra and it would seem also marked by a road accidentata.Per the moment I do not recommend Multy Short positions, which should be taken solely on the signal strength of 15.3.